How big, or how little, a Democratic wave ends up being this November will be determined by how deeply Democrats can cut into reliably Republican districts.
I wrote about one of those districts, North Carolina’s 11th, for Sabato’s Crystal Ball—hope you’ll give it a read:
Big thanks to Kyle Kondik, J. Miles Coleman, and, of course, the GOAT, Larry Sabato, for the opportunity to write this one. The Crystal Ball is consistently recognized as one of the most informative political newsletters going. Subscriptions are free, too, so if you want to keep informed about the 2026 election, click, hunt, and peck your way to a subscription here: