Saturday, October 1, 2016

New NC Registered Voter Data as of 10-1-16

With a little over a month to go before the Nov. 8 general election, North Carolina's State Board of Elections has updated the state's weekly voter registration data. With 6.7 million registered voters, the state's registered voter pool has already exceeded 2012's registered voter pool.

In the party registration, 39.8 percent are registered Democrat, 30.2 percent registered Republican, 29.6 percent are registered unaffiliated, and 0.4 percent are registered Libertarian. If you round 'up' the percentages, registered Republicans and unaffiliated voters are now equal in the pool.

A few areas that I am interested in when it comes to North Carolina's voter pool are race/ethnicity, generation, and region (urban/suburban/rural) voters. Here are these areas in today's data by party registration.

First, race and ethnicity in North Carolina's registered voter pool shows that white non-Hispanic/Latino voters have slipped below 60 percent of the pool:

Among generation cohorts (Millennials born after 1981, Generation Xers born between 1966 and 1980, Baby Boomers born between 1945 and 1965, and Silent/Greatest born before 1945), the rise of the 'unaffiliated' voter is most pronounced between generations, and especially among Millennial voters.

Finally, the urban/rural divide in North Carolina is growing more pronounced, with 54 percent of the state's registered voters in 19 (out of 100) counties.