Tuesday, October 4, 2016

The Patterns Continue for NC Absentee Mail-In Ballots as of 10-4-16

The patterns continue to hold into the fourth week of absentee mail-in ballots for North Carolina: registered Republicans lead in overall requested ballots, while registered Democrats lead in returned and accepted ballots so far as of October 4, 2016.

Nearly 97,200 North Carolinians have requested ballots, with 40 percent coming from registered Republican voters, 32 percent from registered Democrats, 28 percent from registered unaffiliated voters, and less than 1 percent from registered Libertarians.

Of the 15,845 returned and accepted ballots, registered Democrats are 40 percent, registered Republicans at 35 percent, and registered unaffiliated voters are 25 percent.

Registered Democrats continue to lead in the accepted ballots numbers, and are over-performing their 2012 same-day comparison numbers, at 129 percent of where they were in accepted ballots on the same day from four years ago. Registered unaffiliated voters are 128 percent of their same-day accepted ballots, and registered Republicans are 66 percent of where they were four years ago on the same day. Overall, the total returned and accepted mail-in ballots are at 96 percent of where they were on the same day in 2012.

Finally, the number of outstanding mail-in ballots are over 80,000, with the following party registration break-down: