Thursday, April 21, 2016

The South's New Divide: Blue Cities vs. Red States

An interesting phenomenon that needs more study, but a very good introduction to the division that is happening within the South: urban Democratic dominance versus rural Republican dominance. The South may be becoming more like the rest of the nation.

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Transgender Bathroom Brawl Punishes North Carolina Mayors Twice

A Bloomberg Politics article on the recent House Bill 2 controversy and the perspective from local governments on the relationship with the state.

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Podcast Interview on NC Politics

Had the opportunity to chat with Richard Brooke and Sarah Crosland for the podcast "The Good News Is" about North Carolina presidential primary politics and other aspects of the Tar Heel State, along with a quick discussion of House of Cards.

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Super Tuesday's Effect On North Carolina Primaries

Spoke on "State of Things" on WUNC with Frank Stasio on Super Tuesday and what we might expect for North Carolina's March 15 primary.

Will NC Matter, and How Ugly Will the Presidential Candidates' Rhetoric Get?

Was interviewed by WBTV on the importance of North Carolina's primary on March 15, and also was part of a story for WSOC on the depressed level of rhetoric amongst Republican presidential candidates.

The Race to 1237 GOP Delegates

I'm going to keep track of the delegates awarded to the various GOP presidential candidates, with the goal of getting to 1237 delegates. Following Super/SEC Tuesday primary elections, the following graphics show the trend lines of 2012 Romney delegate accumulations compared to 2016 Trump delegate accumulations. Data for these graphs come from: 2012 and 2016. Note: these are listed by the order of the primaries and caucuses held in 2012 and 2016, not a direct comparison by state between the two years.


UPDATE: As of 4 PM on Wednesday, March 2, a new set of delegate allocations was posted at Real Clear Politics. The charts have been updated to reflect these new allocations and delegate awards.  Interestingly, "anyone but Trump" has moved ahead of Trump, exposing the key question: can one anti-Trump emerge to go head-to-head against the frontrunner?




Monday, February 15, 2016

New Blog Post: As #SCOTUS Turns

Have a new blog post at WFAE's The Party Line on a possible solution to Scalia's seat situation on the Supreme Court--thanks to Aaron Sorkin.