Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Super Tuesday's Effect On North Carolina Primaries

Spoke on "State of Things" on WUNC with Frank Stasio on Super Tuesday and what we might expect for North Carolina's March 15 primary.

Will NC Matter, and How Ugly Will the Presidential Candidates' Rhetoric Get?

Was interviewed by WBTV on the importance of North Carolina's primary on March 15, and also was part of a story for WSOC on the depressed level of rhetoric amongst Republican presidential candidates.

The Race to 1237 GOP Delegates

I'm going to keep track of the delegates awarded to the various GOP presidential candidates, with the goal of getting to 1237 delegates. Following Super/SEC Tuesday primary elections, the following graphics show the trend lines of 2012 Romney delegate accumulations compared to 2016 Trump delegate accumulations. Data for these graphs come from: 2012 and 2016. Note: these are listed by the order of the primaries and caucuses held in 2012 and 2016, not a direct comparison by state between the two years.

UPDATE: As of 4 PM on Wednesday, March 2, a new set of delegate allocations was posted at Real Clear Politics. The charts have been updated to reflect these new allocations and delegate awards.  Interestingly, "anyone but Trump" has moved ahead of Trump, exposing the key question: can one anti-Trump emerge to go head-to-head against the frontrunner?