Saturday, September 13, 2014

Update on NC Mail-In Absentee Ballots and Returned Ballots as of 9-13-14

So far, nearly 10,000 North Carolinians have received their mail-in absentee ballots for the 2014 general election, and we have 4% of those ballots (379) returned.

As to the requested ballots: it appears that Democrats are still requesting the highest percentage of ballots, reversing the traditional dominance of Republicans in mail-in absentee ballots.

Mail-In Absentee Ballots Sent Out as of 9-13-14 in 2014 North Carolina General Election by Party Registration, Gender, and Race
Among party registration, Democrats continue to lead in requested mail-in ballots, with 41% to Republicans at 37% and unaffiliated voters at 21%.  The gender gap is pretty significant, with women requesting 56% of the ballots to 43% for men.  Among female voters, registered Democrats are 45% to 36% Republican and 19% unaffiliated; among male voters, Republicans are 39%, Democrats are 36%, and unaffiliated are 24%.  It appears, from at least these early numbers, that female Democrats are energized for this election, which could be a good early indicator for the Hagan campaign in the U.S. Senate contest.

White voters are 82% of the ballots requested, while black voters are 12.5% and all other races are 6%.

Among the returned mail-in ballots, the numbers are slightly different at this early stage:

Returned Ballots in 2014 North Carolina General Election as of 9-13-14

The gender split is pretty much gone, with women and men returning their ballots in nearly equal numbers.  Granted, only 4% of the requested ballots so far have been returned.

In terms of party registration of the returned ballots, 46% have come from Democrats, 36% from Republicans, and 18% from unaffiliated voters.  White voters are 81% of the returned ballots, while black voters are slightly outperforming their requested ballot performance with 15% of the returned ballots.