Of all ballots requested:
Overall, using both the mail-in requests (including those ballots that have been requested and those returned and accepted so far) and the in-person early voting method, North Carolina has the potential of seeing 1,192,190 votes cast before Tuesday's election.
Of all ballots accepted as votes:Out of this 1.19 million votes cast, 1,155,131 ballots (both by mail-in and in-person) have been accepted as votes for Tuesday's election counting, with the following breakdowns by the different methods of balloting:
Among these accepted mail-in and in-person ballots:
- registered Democrats are 47.6 percent
- registered Republicans are 31.9 percent
- registered Unaffiliated voters are 20.3 percent
- Women are 54.2 percent
- White voters are 71.6 percent
- Black voters are 25.0 percent
Of all accepted ballots that were cast in-person:
Out of the accepted ballots that were cast in-person by North Carolinians, 1,097,560 have been recorded for votes on Tuesday. This represents 121 percent of the 2010 numbers on the last day of early in-person voting in 2010. The cumulative totals for these accepted in-person early votes are:
- registered Democratic voters cast 48.5 percent of the in-person accepted ballots, for a total of 532,026 ballots, representing 125 percent of the final day Democratic totals in 2010
- registered Republican voters cast 31.1 percent of the in-person accepted ballots, for a total of 341,523 ballots, representing 105 percent of the final day Republican totals in 2010
- registered Unaffiliated & Libertarian voters cast 20.4 percent of the in-person accepted ballots, for a total of 224,011 ballots, representing 145 percent of the final day unaffiliated/Libertarian totals in 2010.
- Female voters ended up casting 54.1 percent of the in-person accepted ballots
- White voters are 70.8 percent of the total in-person accepted ballots
- Black voters are 25.8 percent of the total in-person accepted ballots
Saturday's daily total of 103,128 for accepted in-person ballots was:
- registered Democrats: 48.5 percent
- registered Republicans: 30.4 percent
- registered Unaffiliated/Libertarians: 21 percent
- Women: 53.5 percent
- White voters: 65.4 percent
- Black voters: 29.9 percent
The trend line in comparing the daily cumulative totals of in-person accepted ballots against the numbers in 2010, as measured by the days out from the election, show the sizable performance of registered Democrats and registered Unaffiliated voters over their numbers from four years ago:
Finally, the voters who have participated in this year's in-person early voting and comparing their voting behavior in 2010's mid-term election shows a significant number of registered Unaffiliated and Democratic voters showing up who didn't cast ballots four years ago:
Additional Analysis (as of 2 PM):
In looking at the voters who were registered to vote in 2010 but didn't vote in the mid-term four years ago, but did show up to cast an early ballot this year, we see some interesting numbers that could give us a clue on the ground game and interest level among the different groups of voters.
Among these 75,616 voters who cast 2014 in-person early ballots and were registered to vote in 2010 but didn't vote in 2010:
- 40,986 are registered Democrats, representing 54 percent of these voters
- 17,892 are registered Republicans, representing 24 percent of these voters
- 16,597 are registered Unaffiliated voters, representing 22 percent of these voters
Among each party registration in terms of race:
Among registered Democrats who cast 2014 in-person early ballots and were registered in 2010 but didn't vote in that year's mid-term election, 54 percent are black voters, with 42 percent white. Among registered unaffiliated voters, 77 percent are white, while 14 percent are black voters.
Additional Analysis (as of 5 PM):Among the 2014 NC in-person early voters who were registered in 2010 but didn't vote that year, fifty percent of these voters were in twelve counties (in order of the largest number of total voters): Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Cumberland, Forsyth, Buncombe, Gaston, Durham, Union, Iredell, Pitt, and Catawba counties.
For registered Democrats, half of their 40K votes came from Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Cumberland, Forsyth, Durham, Buncombe, Gaston, Pitt, Union, Wayne, and Orange counties.
For registered Republicans, half of their nearly 18K votes came from Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Union, Gaston, Iredell, Randolph, Buncombe, Catawba, Forsyth, Cumberland, Davidson and Wayne counties.
For registered unaffiliated voters, half of their 16K votes came from Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Buncombe, Forsyth, Cumberland, Union, Durham, Gaston, Orange and Iredell counties.
For all the NC Counties, here are their numbers of 2014 in-person early voters who were registered in 2010 but did not vote in 2010: