The Legal and Political Implications of NC's House Bill 2

Was recently on WFAE's Charlotte Talks talking as a panelist on the legal and political implications of North Carolina's House Bill 2.

NC's Transgender Bathroom Battle: What Sparked It & What's Next

Was interviewed for an article at The Guardian newspaper on North Carolina's House Bill 2, which included a section on transgender individuals and the use of public bathrooms. One correction: the passage that the reporter wrote:

"Bitzer, the political scientist, said his polls show an inverse relationship between the number of college graduates in a place and its support for Trump."

The "polls" was rather an analysis of looking at the 100 counties and the Trump performance in the counties; in the below graph, a county's percentage of bachelor degree holders was inversely related to the level of Trump support (with an r2 of nearly 0.50):

Podcast Interview: The "Trump Effect" on Partisan Affiliation

Was interviewed on a recent WFAE The Party Line blog post on the "Trump Effect" on partisan affiliation and voting--the interview starts at 17:00 minutes into the podcast (love that it was a Prince introduction).

Analysis: N.C. governor’s fight with feds carries big political risks, rewards

Some analysis regarding North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory's actions related to House Bill 2 and the lawsuits exchanged with the federal government.

The South's New Divide: Blue Cities vs. Red States

An interesting phenomenon that needs more study, but a very good introduction to the division that is happening within the South: urban Democratic dominance versus rural Republican dominance. The South may be becoming more like the rest of the nation.

Transgender Bathroom Brawl Punishes North Carolina Mayors Twice

A Bloomberg Politics article on the recent House Bill 2 controversy and the perspective from local governments on the relationship with the state.

Podcast Interview on NC Politics

Had the opportunity to chat with Richard Brooke and Sarah Crosland for the podcast "The Good News Is" about North Carolina presidential primary politics and other aspects of the Tar Heel State, along with a quick discussion of House of Cards.

Super Tuesday's Effect On North Carolina Primaries

Spoke on "State of Things" on WUNC with Frank Stasio on Super Tuesday and what we might expect for North Carolina's March 15 primary.

Will NC Matter, and How Ugly Will the Presidential Candidates' Rhetoric Get?

Was interviewed by WBTV on the importance of North Carolina's primary on March 15, and also was part of a story for WSOC on the depressed level of rhetoric amongst Republican presidential candidates.

The Race to 1237 GOP Delegates

I'm going to keep track of the delegates awarded to the various GOP presidential candidates, with the goal of getting to 1237 delegates. Following Super/SEC Tuesday primary elections, the following graphics show the trend lines of 2012 Romney delegate accumulations compared to 2016 Trump delegate accumulations. Data for these graphs come from: 2012 and 2016. Note: these are listed by the order of the primaries and caucuses held in 2012 and 2016, not a direct comparison by state between the two years.

UPDATE: As of 4 PM on Wednesday, March 2, a new set of delegate allocations was posted at Real Clear Politics. The charts have been updated to reflect these new allocations and delegate awards.  Interestingly, "anyone but Trump" has moved ahead of Trump, exposing the key question: can one anti-Trump emerge to go head-to-head against the frontrunner?